Economists Do It With Models

For those interested in the smart and witty discussion of economics (behavioral and otherwise) do yourself a favor and check out Jodi Begg’s Economists Do It With Models (the title says it all). Beggs is a Ph.D. Candidate at Harvard and focuses on behavioral economics (incentives, generally).  She has a great sense of humor and [...]

It’s Time to Bring a Moneyball Approach to the Credit Rating Industry

Probably the least discussed aspect of the recent market crash is the role played by the credit rating agencies (CRA’s).  While some on Wall Street were hard at work creating exotic bonds and investment products that included bundles of toxic, subprime mortgage loans, the CRA’s were providing the necessary cover for these instruments to be [...]

The Credit Crunch Prophet

This weekend’s Financial Times featured a great interview with economist, and ‘prophet’ of the recent economic metldown, Nouriel Roubini. At a time when many economists and financial commentators where underplaying, if not downright ignoring, the looming credit crunch, Roubini was warning of the impending chaos of the markets.  Some may claim that he was simply [...]

Analytical Shortcuts: Knowing “What” Instead of “Why”

Correlation doesn’t always equal causation, but often correlation can serve as a signal.  The collection and analysis of data in some areas of the world is messy and slow.  Often times this means the data can only tells us what happened in the past.  What we would ideally like is a snapshot of events and [...]

My senior thesis gets less impressive by the day…

I wrote my senior honors thesis back in 2000 on the interplay between transnational organized crime, corruption, and privatization in the former Soviet Union.  At the time I thought is was pretty good, impressive in fact.  Well, I’ve learned through the years that, in the words of Nero in Mel Brooks’ History of the World, [...]

Seeing the whole board on financial reform

Clive Crook does: The problem is not just that specific rules – higher bank capital requirements, for instance – threaten profits and are therefore opposed. It is that all governments see themselves as partners of their industries in world competition. Regulators seek not a level playing field but one tilted to their own groups’ advantage. [...]

Book Review: The Bottom Billion

I was familiar with Collier’s work and those that he takes on (Bill Easterly, Jeffrey Sacks) for some time before finally picking up this highly acclaimed book. It didn’t disappoint. The Bottom Billion is an accessible summary of Collier’s work which focuses on the peculiar problem of development for the poorest countries in the world.  [...]

“They realized that this wasn’t a bet against a company, this was a bet against an entire system”

The story of “The Great Recession”, as many are calling the current economic crash, is in the process of being told.  There are so many angles and players that it is difficult to tell the story in one single work.  Each article and book that comes out focuses on one aspect of the crisis (e.g. [...]

Hardwired to see Patterns

Alan Turing, one of the most brilliant minds to have graced the earth, devised a test to determine whether or not a machine possessed intelligence.  This test became known as the Turing Test. A pair of researchers have developed a similar test to determine whether humans can tell the difference between actual financial market returns [...]

Why expiration dates probably aren’t good for business

Noah asks a provocative question: What if businesses came with expiration dates? Nobody wins forever. It just doesn’t happen. What we see in reality are millions of corpses of businesses and ideas that have made their impact (or not) and then petered out into oblivion without leaving much more than a memory. Some of them [...]