Critique of The Fat Tail for IR Theory Wonks

For those that might be interested in a rather wonky, nitpicky discussion of international relations theory you can check out my narrow critique of the application of international relations theory found in Ian Bremmer and Preton Keat’s book, The Fat Tail here.

More Momentum for the Social Sciences–Nobel Edition

For those that have not yet heard, the Nobel Prize for Economics (actually named the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel) was awarded this year to two recipients, one of whom–Elinor Ostrom–is a Political Scientist.  As Tyler Cowen of Marginal Revolution notes: It’s a nod in the direction of social [...]

Better Political Forecasts through Crowdsourcing

Dan Drezner links to a recent article by Philip Tetlock on the difficult business of political forecasting. His evaluation of this troubled pastime is accomplished through the review of three recent books that all claim to provide a better way to see the future of politics. His own research (Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is [...]