Don’t overestimate your role in successful outcomes

Jonathan Bernstein draws on Bill James to offer advice to both the Republican and Democratic parties following last week’s election: I can start not with wisdom from political science, but from the great baseball analyst Bill James, who had useful observations about both winners and losers that I think are worth learning from in the political [...]

Structural explanations are not always sexy or gratifying, but they typically explain a lot

In the days after the US midterm elections cable news outlets, radio programs, political pundits, newspapers, and activists on both sides of the ideological spectrum have exerted a great deal of blood and sweat to explain the nationwide drubbing of the Democrats. Democrats are predictably covering their behinds—conceding voter anger, but cautioning that the country [...]

To explain the origin of exchange, you must explain the origin of trust

I’ve just started reading Matt Ridley’s The Rational Optimist.  So far, it is an excellent, through-provoking read.  A key to Ridley’s argument is that the innovation of exchange–the trading between two parties of separate items or services that both parties value–that led to mankind’s dominance of the planet and the explosion of knowledge and technology. [...]

The Catch-22 of the Health Care Reform Bill for Democrats

[What follows is an editorial post I wrote for the Courier-Post Community Editorial Board] As the House prepares to vote on the Senate version of health care reform (and the Senate prepares for the arduous reconciliation process to follow) I am left thinking how much of a Catch-22 this bill is politically and policy-wise–both for [...]

Politics and Infographics

Cliff Kuang at Fast Company points to a short, interesting talk by Alex Lundry of TargetPoint Consulting. Lundry quickly runs down the importance of infographics and data visualizations in the political realm.  Bottom line: people are hard wired to learn through visualization, and infographics can be very powerful tools in political battles over ideas and [...]

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